What’s Driving the Rise of European M&A in 2025? Outlook and Opportunities for CEE Founders & Investors

Despite a global slowdown in M&A, Europe is breaking the trend. While worldwide deal volumes fell in H1 2025, European deal activity surged to its highest level in over a decade, powered by strong private equity exits, favourable financing conditions, and rising interest from international buyers.

by Absolvo
September 3, 2025
5 min read
https://www.absolvo.eu/insights/whats-driving-the-rise-of-european-m-a-in-2025-outlook-and-opportunities-for-cee-founders-investors
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M&A Outlook

Global slowdown, but Europe challenges the trend

H1 2025 saw a 9% global drop in deal volumes, even as deal values surged by 15%, driven by bigger, high-conviction transactions. Europe, however, is challenging that global trend – based on Pitchbook data:

  • 10,274 M&A deals totalling over $516 billion were completed—marking the highest deal count in more than a decade.
  • Q2 alone saw $256.3 billion in deal value and 5,205 transactions, underlining sustained momentum.

Meanwhile, Pitchbook also reported that Europe led the globe in private equity exits during H1 2025, surpassing North America in deal count.

Surging appetites (European M&A) in H1 2025, according to Pitchbook data

What is driving deal activity in Europe?

Several factors explain Europe’s resilience in H1 2025 and support a positive outlook for H2:

  • Valuation gap vs. US.: European companies are still priced lower than US peers, which draw interest from strategic and PE buyers.
  • Financing advantage: The ECB cut rates twice this year, while the US Federal Reserve kept steady. Lower financing costs support both dealmaking and valuations.
  • Sector focus: Tech, IT services, and software continue to attract the most activity, while energy, automotive, and chemicals remain under pressure from tariffs and higher input costs.
  • Sustained appetite from non-European acquirers: PitchBook data shows that despite softer volumes in recent years (compared to a big boom in 2021-22), overseas buyers continue to deploy significant capital into European targets, with $114.9B already recorded in 2025.  
European M&A activity with non-European acquirer (2015-2025)

Snapshot of CEE: Strategic opportunity and confidence

Looking back to the M&A history of the region, MergerMarket analysis shows a strong upward trend in deal volumes across the CEE region since 2003, growing from 169 deals in 2003 to 1,074 in 2024. It represents a 9.2% compound annual growth rate (CAGR). After a peak in 2021 (1,245 deals), volumes slightly declined but have stabilized above 1,000 deals annually in the past three years, signalling sustained transactional activity in the region that seems to be progressing in 2025.

M&A in CEE: Total Deal Volumes (2003-2024)

Coming back to 2025, CEE continued to remain stable on sell-side activities, while buy-side transactions went up 3% in the beginning of 2025, according to Dealsuite. In comparison, the UK & Ireland (+8%) and the Netherlands (+6%) saw stronger buy-side momentum, while DACH (–3%) and France (–6%) experienced declines.

H1 2025 already saw notable CEE tech transactions, such as the acquisition of Poland’s Dealavo. EY also reported that while deal count in the region slowed, deal values jumped by 113% YoY, with mid- to large-scale tech transactions doubling. This shows CEE is no longer just a talent hub – it’s delivering real exit opportunities.

Across these deals, three patterns stand out:
  • Exit timing: founders sold after proving €10–20M ARR, before heavy international expansion costs kicked in.
  • Strategic logic: Western buyers used CEE acquisitions to add tech modules or engineering capacity faster and cheaper than building in-house.
  • Fund dynamics: regional VCs raising new funds pushed for realizations, driving proactive sale processes.
Sector-wise, CEE follows broader European patterns:
  • Business services and industrials lead in transaction volume.
  • Software and IT services are particularly attractive thanks to strong talent pools and digitisation trends.
  • Traditional sectors like automotive and construction remain active but face global trade and cost pressures

What does this mean for founders and investors active in CEE?

For founders, this means waiting for the “perfect moment” risks missing the buyer’s window. For investors, it underlines that CEE scale-ups are now proven exit stories, with buyers actively scanning the region. Preparation – in governance, metrics, and buyer relationships – will determine who captures premium multiples in the next wave.

Outlook for H2 2025: Optimism with cautiousness

Looking aheadto the second half of 2025, these are what we can expect:

  • Deal flow is expected to stay  strong, particularly in tech, infrastructure and services.
  • More private equity funds may sell their portfolio companies in H2, as  they look to return capital to investors and take advantage of active  buyer interest
  • Regional consolidation and possible megadeals will likely remain part of the picture, even as many founders continue to wait for the  “perfect timing” to sell.
  • Uncertainty remains, with tariffs, geopolitical risks and long-term rates still weighing on confidence. Yet, as PwC notes, “uncertainty may be the new constant”, and dealmakers who prepare strategically will outperform.

Summary

H1 2025 provedthat European M&A is resilient, with deal flow at decade-high levels. ForCEE, rising buy-side demand and steady valuations mean that both founders andinvestors have a real window of opportunity in H2. Let’s see at the end of theyear how it turns out.

How Absolvo can support you in your M&A strategies?

At Absolvo, we know that preparation and the right partner can make orbreak a deal. Our experience shows that founders who prepare well in advance(often 2–3 years before a potential exit) and strategically position theirbusiness while accessing the right investors can achieve 2-3x better valuationsand receive more competitive offers. With decades of M&A experience and anetwork of 28,600+ active investors, Absolvo help you navigate these times withconfidence, because now may be the best time to act.

Reach out if you want to talk to us and prepare together for masteringyour M&A strategy and exit opportunities.

Sources:

Pitchbook Report 2025

Mergermarket Report 2025

PwC Report 2025

Dealsuite Report 2025

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Absolvo specializes in M&A and growth financing, backed by 380+ completed deals collectively in the Central and Eastern European region. We support technology companies through strategic exits, private equity transactions, and cross-border growth initiatives. If you are considering an exit or a strategic partnership, our team is ready to help you prepare and position your business toward an exit that could deliver 3–5x its fair value.

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