Equity Thursday by Absolvo and HVCA (May 8) – Part 1: The Investor perspective

In the framework of the monthly Equity Thursday, on May 8, Absolvo and HVCA hosted top-tier PE firms and PE-backed Founders for its panel discussions focusing on What Does 2025-2026 Hold for Private Equity Deals in CEE? In our article we summarize the key takeaways of the investor panel, where we brought together two of the most active private equity players in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) and Southern Eastern Europe (SEE) to explore the evolving investment landscape - Tomasz Hajduk of Abris Capital Partners and Marko Galic of Provectus Capital Partners. The session was moderated by Absolvo's Founding Partner, Lenard Horgos.

by Absolvo
May 15, 2025
5 min read
https://www.absolvo.eu/insights/equity-thursday-by-absolvo-and-hvca-20250508
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Outlook for 2025–2026

The session opened with a macro-level view of the market. Following a period of inflated valuations and unpredictable fundraising conditions, investors now see stabilizing trends and greater clarity for deployment.

According to recent figures, the volume of CEE PE buyouts remained relatively stable compared to previous years, with approximately 150 deals executed, similar to 2022 and 2023. On the exit side, the number of PE-backed exits in the region saw a slight increase, which is a promising sign for liquidity. Although, deal values again fell, which aligns with global observations that valuations have normalized from the overheated levels of 2021 and early 2022.

CEE PE M&A buyouts and exits

Despite the challenging environment, several private equity firms remained highly active in the CEE region (including our guest, Abris Capital). This continued presence of leading firms underscores the long-term strategic commitment to the region, even in a cooling market.

The outlook among professionals remains cautiously optimistic. As noted in a supporting survey, 91% of respondents expect PE activity to increase in 2025, with strategies focusing on market consolidation and buy-and-build approaches. However, macroeconomic factors (such as geopolitical instability and slowed economic growth) are expected to weigh heavily on deal-making strategies in the near term.

Expected change in M&A transactions with PE involvement (2025 vs. 2024)
“There’s been a consolidation in valuations… targets are no longer overpriced, which is finally making room for deals again”

noted Tomasz Hajduk from Abris Capital.

Both firms confirmed from their own experience that there is a gradual reactivation in the market, in line with broader expectations. This creates a more favourable environment for executing deals, especially for funds already well-capitalized and experienced in CEE dynamics.

Platform Deals and the Buy-and-Build Model

A core focus for both Abris and Provectus remains the buy-and-build strategy, which they view as the most effective approach to value creation in fragmented sectors. Provectus has leveraged this model across several verticals, particularly healthcare, where they’ve built leading regional players through a series of add-ons.

Rather than passive acquisitions, the emphasis is on active operational development—professionalizing management, centralizing procurement, and investing in shared services. The result is not just revenue growth but the creation of platform companies that are structurally scalable and strategically differentiated.

“We focus on fragmented markets where you can consolidate smaller players into a dominant group – that’s where real value creation happens”

said Marko Galic, referencing Provectus Capital's success in healthcare.

Similarly, Abris employs buy-and-build as a foundational strategy, but also looking for transformational deals.

Their portfolio includes businesses that have undergone full-scale transformation. Not just geographic expansion but business model reinvention. This includes shifting traditional service companies toward digital, tech-enabled revenue models, which provides multiple levers for future growth and exit readiness.

Founders as Partners: Transition Planning Is Key

For PE firms, the acquired company’s team and management are key, and both firms approached the founders and management with a clear, structured process. Founders are typically retained to preserve institutional knowledge and ensure continuity. However, investors expect early conversations around succession planning and the professionalization of leadership.

Rather than abrupt changes, the model is built around gradual transition—starting with strategic hires such as CFOs and COOs who can prepare the business for its next phase of growth or eventual sale. The ability to manage this transition smoothly is seen as a key differentiator in the CEE context, where many companies are still founder-led and under-resourced in senior management.

VCs Turning to PE: A Growing Trend

One emerging dynamic in the region is the increasing number of VC-backed companies seeking exits through PE. As capital availability in venture markets contracts and IPO paths remain limited, many startups that have matured but not scaled explosively are looking to PE as the next logical step.

“We’ve had VC-backed firms approach us after growth slowed. We step in with majority control, operational expertise, and turn them into profitable add-ons.”

said Tomasz.

This is particularly true for companies that have strong fundamentals but need operational discipline and a route to profitability. PE firms see these as attractive add-on candidates or, in some cases, small platforms. While these opportunities require a mindset shift—from founder control to PE governance—they are becoming more frequent and viable as the ecosystem evolves.

ESG and AI: Practical Applications in Value Creation

Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) factors are no longer just compliance items, they are fully embedded in investment processes. Both firms conduct ESG due diligence on every deal and apply structured improvement targets post-acquisition. ESG performance is now directly tied to incentives and increasingly considered essential for any successful exit, especially when selling to Western strategic or financial buyers.

“Our portfolio companies report on ESG alongside financials and management bonuses are tied to those targets.”

said Marko.

On the AI front, investors are selectively integrating tools for market mapping, reporting automation, and portfolio company operations. While proprietary AI development remains limited, commercial tools with embedded AI capabilities are reducing manual workloads and improving operational efficiency. Use cases, such as content automation for e-commerce platforms, demonstrate how even small innovations can unlock significant productivity gains. At the same time, they made it clear that despite AI’s great potential, they won’t act like VCs. For them, early-stage deals are off the table, as their investment thesis and mandate remain firmly rooted in the private equity approach.

Closing Reflections

The session concluded on a grounded but positive note. Both Hajduk and Galic emphasized that while uncertainty remains a feature of today’s markets, it also creates opportunities for investors who stay disciplined, focused, and adaptable.

In their view, private equity in CEE is entering a new phase—one that favors strategic clarity over market timing, active value creation over financial engineering, and partnerships with entrepreneurs who are ready to evolve.

As 2025 unfolds, the message from leading investors is clear: with the right model, right sectors, and right relationships, CEE remains one of Europe’s most promising regions for private equity success.

Read the Founder perspective here.

If you're looking to understand how the private equity space works and who the active players are, reach out and let’s have a chat.

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